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内容推荐 本报告对常规转型情景和再电气化情境下我国能源和电力从当前到2050年的转型路径进行了展望和比较。为有效支撑新时代中国特色社会主义发展的“两阶段”战略安排,2018年度将2035年和2050年作为展望分析的重点水平年。同时,2018年度还增设了专题研究,对能源互联网功能特征、煤炭消费减量化、能源高质量发展实现路径等热点话题展开了分析研究,以期为能源电力发展的中长期路径选择提供参考与建议。 目录 Preface 1 Energy and Electricity Development Scenarios in China 1.1 Scenario Setting 1.2 Major Changes in Scenario Setting for this Year 2 Prospects for Energy Development in China 2.1 End-use Energy Demand 2.2 Primary Energy Demand 2.3 Carbon Dioxide Emission from Energy Combustion 2.4 Brief Summary 3 Prospects for Power System Development in China 3.1 Electricity Demand 3.2 Power Source Development 3.3 Power Grid Development 3.4 Demand-side Resource Development 3.5 Energy Storage Development 3.6 Cost and Carbon Emissions of Power System 3.7 Brief Summary 4 Monographic Study 4.1 Functional Characteristics of Energy Internet 4.2 Reasonable Path of Coal Reduction in China 4.3 Connotation and Realization Path of High-quality Energy Development in China Appendix A Model Method A.1 Forecast of Economic and Social Development A.2 Forecast of End-use Energy Demand A.3 Multi-regional Coordinated Source-grid-load-storage Planning of Power System A.4 Multi-regional Coordinated Source-grid-load-storage Production Simulation of Power System A.5 Forecast of Primary Energy Demand A.6 Caiculation of Carbon Emission from Energy Combustion Appendix B Introduction of Department Adjustment Appendix C Data Source References |