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内容推荐 本书提炼总结了过去30多年间全球经济社会、能源电力、生态环境等方面的发展规律,着力发现其中隐藏的重大拐点与趋势变化;综合考虑能源政策取向、气候环境约束、利用效率提升等方面因素,在一致的人口增长及经济发展预期的基础上,面向2050年设计了三个情景,对全球、各洲及重点国家的能源需求、能源供应、电力需求、电力供应、温室气体排放等进行了分析展望;对新能源发展和电气化进程进行了专题研究。 目录 Preface Abstract Part Ⅰ Global Energy Review Ⅰ Economy and Society i GDP ii Per Capita GDP iii Population Ⅱ Energy Consumption i Primary Energy Consumption ii Final Energy Consumption Ⅲ Energy Supply Ⅳ Electricity Consumption i Electricity Consumption ii Electrification Indicators Ⅴ Electricity Supply i Installed Generation Capacity ii Electricity Generation Ⅵ Carbon Emission Part Ⅱ Global Energy Outlook Ⅰ Main Driving Factors i Population Growth ii Economic Development iii Technological Advancement iv Policy Incentives V Energy Prices Ⅱ Scenario Design i NDC Emission Reduction Scenario ii High Energy Efficiency Scenario iii 2℃ Scenario Ⅲ Main Results i Primary Energy ii Final Energy iii Electricity Demand and Supply iv Carbon Emission v Energy Economic Indicators Ⅳ Outlook by Fuel i Primary Energy ii Electricity Generation Ⅴ Outlook by Sector i Industry ii Transport iii Buildings iv Non-Energy Use Ⅵ Outlook by Region i North America ii Central & South America iii Europe iv Asia-Pacific v Middle East vi Africa Part Ⅲ Special Focus Topic 1 New Energy Development Ⅰ Status Quo of Global New Energy Development i Global New Energy Development Status ii New Energy Development in Selected Countries Ⅱ Global New Energy Outlook i Driving Factors ii Outlook of New Energy Topic 2 Electrification Progress Ⅰ Status Quo of Global Electrification Level i Global Electrification Status ii Current Electrification Level by Region iii Current Electrification level of Major Countries Ⅱ Global Electrification Level Outlook i Driving Factors ii Outlook of Electrification Level Appendix A Model Description Appendix B Regional Grouping Appendix C Historical Data Appendix D Outlook Results Appendix E International Comparison References |