1 Introduction
1.1 Problem statement and motivation
1.2 Research objectives
1.3 Book outline
1.4 Technical course
2 Literature review
2.1 Overview
2.2 Classification of landslides
2.3 Causes of landslides
2.4 Hydrological controls of deep-seated landslides
2.5 Hydrogeological flow patterns relevant for deep-seated landslides
2.6 Estimating proportions of fluid and solid precipitation and snowmelt
2.6.1 Thresholds for fluid and solid precipitation
2.6.2 Temperature-index and energy-index snowmelt models
2.7 Estimating infiltration and groundwater fluctuations in hillslopes
2.7.1 Deterministic physical models
2.7.2 Empirical-statistical models
2.8 Modelling quasi-static landslide movements (slope movement with complete sliding surface)
3 A modified tank model including snowmelt and infiltration time lags for deep-seated landslides
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Site descriptions
3.2.1 Geographical setting and geological overview
3.2.2 Tectonic overview and setting of the study site
3.2.3 Climatic conditions
3.2.4 Monitoring system and monitoring data
3.2.5 Historic events
3.3 Methods
3.3.1 The modified tank model including snowmelt and infiltration
3.3.2 Simpler approximations of slope hydrology
3.3.3 Determining the parameter of PWP calculation in the modified tank model
3.3.4 Snowmelt calculations in the modified tank model
3.4 Results
3.4.1 Performance of modified tank model in heavy rainfall season
3.4.2 Performance of modified tank model in snowmelt season
3.4.3 Performance of modified tank model throughout the monitoring period and error analysis
3.5 Discussions
3.5.1 Performance of modified tank model in heavy rainfall season
3.5.2 Performance of modified tank model in snowmelt season
3.5.3 Highlights of the modified model
3.5.4 Drawbacks and limitations
3.6 Conclusions
4 Physical tank experiments on groundwater level controls of slopes with homogenous materials
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Methods
4.2.1 Test setup and testing materials
4.2.2 Experiment procedures
4.3 Results and analysis
4.3.1 Simple tank experiment
4.3.2 Surface runoff tank experiment
4.3.3 Lateral water flow supply tank experiment
4.4 Conclusions
5 Physical tank experiments for estimation of groundwater considering slope structure controlling affection
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Different typical geological condition of landslides
5.2.1 A coarse-fine material slope
5.2.2 A slope including a fine layer
5.2.3 A slope including an obvious fracture
5.2.4 A slope in interaction with a river
5.3 Physical tank experiments
5.3.1 Tank experimental flume and materials
5.3.2 Physical tank experimental outline
5.4 Results and discussion
5.5 Summary and conclusions
6 Prediction of groundwater affecting deep-seated landslide quasi-static movement
6.1 Introduction
6.2 New viscous velocity based model
6.2.1 Introduction of new viscous model
6.2.2 Velocity-strength module
6.2.3 New viscous model caleulation
6.3 The Ventnor landslide, Isle of Wight, Southern England
6.3.1 Introduction to Ventnor landslide, Isle of Wight
6.3.2 Monitoring data in the model (displacement and pore water pressure)
6.3.3 Strength properties of the main slip surface
6.3.4 Application of a new viscous model at the Ventnor landslide
6.3.5 Prediction results and analysis
6.4 The Utiku landslide in New Zealand
6.4.1 Introduction to Utiku landslide, New Zealand
6.4.2 Involved monitoring and strength date
6.4.3 Application of new viscous model to Utiku landslide
6.4.4 Prediction results and analysis
6.5 Discussion
6.5.1 Physical interpretation
6.5.2 Parameters interpretation
6.5.3 Comparison between traditional and

本书通过降雨（雪）数据预测地下水及诱发的相关的滑坡运动来构建一个大型滑坡的预测模块。通过引入内聚力-速度模块，构建了一个新的粘滞模型用来预测和描述滑坡的被地下水控制的准静态运动。为了更好的理解和模拟地下水和孔隙水压力作用于滑坡启动、加速、减速及再次启动，本书提供了重要的步骤。这些将有意义地贡献于未来的基于机理模型而非简单阈值的早期预警系统的研究。